Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy Easiest Rank on Leaderboard #6 Hypothetical

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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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Rizz
(146768789)

Created by: CAPITALXL CAPITALXL
Started: 12/2023
Stocks
Last trade: 8 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $50.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

41.3%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(26.0%)
Max Drawdown
81
Num Trades
49.4%
Win Trades
1.7 : 1
Profit Factor
83.3%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023                                                                             +11.1%+11.1%
2024+6.3%+9.0%+4.0%+6.8%(1.2%)                                          +27.2%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 69 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
4/23/24 14:09 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 500 34.44 4/24 9:38 36.76 1.73%
Trade id #147989200
Max drawdown($216)
Time4/23/24 15:53
Quant open470
Worst price33.98
Drawdown as % of equity-1.73%
 $1,151
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.00
4/22/24 15:50 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 500 32.02 4/23 13:35 33.97 0.87%
Trade id #147979760
Max drawdown($98)
Time4/22/24 15:55
Quant open470
Worst price31.81
Drawdown as % of equity-0.87%
 $964
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.00
4/22/24 15:14 SOXS DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BEAR LONG 370 43.38 4/22 15:48 44.00 0.39%
Trade id #147979285
Max drawdown($44)
Time4/22/24 15:18
Quant open340
Worst price43.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
 $222
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.40
4/19/24 15:32 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 400 30.74 4/22 13:21 31.83 1.37%
Trade id #147961236
Max drawdown($150)
Time4/19/24 15:46
Quant open400
Worst price30.36
Drawdown as % of equity-1.37%
 $428
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
4/18/24 11:15 SOXS DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BEAR LONG 350 39.55 4/19 10:55 42.82 1.1%
Trade id #147946235
Max drawdown($111)
Time4/18/24 11:22
Quant open350
Worst price39.23
Drawdown as % of equity-1.10%
 $1,138
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
4/18/24 10:00 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,200 11.97 4/18 10:38 11.78 2.47%
Trade id #147945039
Max drawdown($249)
Time4/18/24 10:37
Quant open1,200
Worst price11.76
Drawdown as % of equity-2.47%
 ($233)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/12/24 15:49 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 290 41.90 4/15 14:29 39.80 6.98%
Trade id #147891007
Max drawdown($744)
Time4/15/24 13:51
Quant open290
Worst price39.33
Drawdown as % of equity-6.98%
 ($615)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.80
4/11/24 15:25 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 300 45.82 4/12 15:45 41.72 13.32%
Trade id #147878280
Max drawdown($1,436)
Time4/12/24 15:15
Quant open300
Worst price41.03
Drawdown as % of equity-13.32%
 ($1,234)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
4/10/24 13:59 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,150 10.95 4/11 15:25 10.35 5.82%
Trade id #147863203
Max drawdown($704)
Time4/11/24 14:38
Quant open1,150
Worst price10.34
Drawdown as % of equity-5.82%
 ($701)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.50
4/5/24 14:03 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,150 10.76 4/10 13:47 11.01 2.01%
Trade id #147823276
Max drawdown($248)
Time4/9/24 0:00
Quant open1,150
Worst price10.54
Drawdown as % of equity-2.01%
 $286
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.50
4/2/24 13:48 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 290 45.87 4/4 15:02 43.23 6.29%
Trade id #147787065
Max drawdown($806)
Time4/4/24 15:02
Quant open290
Worst price43.09
Drawdown as % of equity-6.29%
 ($770)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.80
4/2/24 10:09 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 610 10.84 4/2 13:01 10.75 0.41%
Trade id #147783571
Max drawdown($53)
Time4/2/24 12:59
Quant open610
Worst price10.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.41%
 ($58)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/1/24 15:31 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 88 61.70 4/2 9:32 59.80 1.33%
Trade id #147776344
Max drawdown($178)
Time4/2/24 9:30
Quant open88
Worst price59.67
Drawdown as % of equity-1.33%
 ($168)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.76
3/28/24 15:39 SPXS DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BEAR 3X LONG 510 8.70 3/28 15:57 8.69 0.05%
Trade id #147758161
Max drawdown($7)
Time3/28/24 15:57
Quant open510
Worst price8.68
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 ($10)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/25/24 15:54 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 176 62.33 3/26 15:05 62.34 0.14%
Trade id #147731267
Max drawdown($19)
Time3/25/24 15:59
Quant open88
Worst price61.97
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
 ($1)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.52
3/22/24 14:18 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 158 62.88 3/25 9:30 61.49 1.82%
Trade id #147715264
Max drawdown($246)
Time3/25/24 9:30
Quant open158
Worst price61.32
Drawdown as % of equity-1.82%
 ($223)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.16
3/22/24 12:46 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 216 62.47 3/22 14:08 63.02 n/a $115
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.32
3/18/24 12:14 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 290 43.12 3/21 9:30 47.65 9.99%
Trade id #147668625
Max drawdown($1,209)
Time3/19/24 0:00
Quant open290
Worst price38.95
Drawdown as % of equity-9.99%
 $1,308
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.80
3/15/24 13:51 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 256 57.85 3/15 15:53 57.69 0.48%
Trade id #147651641
Max drawdown($59)
Time3/15/24 15:53
Quant open256
Worst price57.62
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
 ($48)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.12
3/15/24 12:16 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 200 42.89 3/15 13:04 42.89 0.16%
Trade id #147650843
Max drawdown($19)
Time3/15/24 12:19
Quant open200
Worst price42.79
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
 ($3)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
3/14/24 12:35 SPXS DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BEAR 3X LONG 1,600 9.34 3/15 11:12 9.46 0.34%
Trade id #147640542
Max drawdown($41)
Time3/14/24 14:12
Quant open1,600
Worst price9.31
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
 $201
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/13/24 15:32 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 320 46.02 3/14 10:18 44.59 5.86%
Trade id #147631275
Max drawdown($739)
Time3/14/24 10:01
Quant open320
Worst price43.71
Drawdown as % of equity-5.86%
 ($464)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.40
3/12/24 14:06 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 250 61.05 3/13 15:31 60.39 2.05%
Trade id #147612370
Max drawdown($261)
Time3/13/24 15:29
Quant open250
Worst price60.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.05%
 ($169)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/12/24 12:03 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 600 10.77 3/12 13:18 10.81 0.18%
Trade id #147609419
Max drawdown($22)
Time3/12/24 12:14
Quant open600
Worst price10.73
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
 $23
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/11/24 9:30 PSQ PROSHARES SHORT QQQ LONG 1,670 8.97 3/12 11:17 8.86 1.43%
Trade id #147589097
Max drawdown($181)
Time3/12/24 11:17
Quant open1,670
Worst price8.86
Drawdown as % of equity-1.43%
 ($187)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
3/7/24 14:59 IAT ISHARES DOW JONES US REGIONAL LONG 385 41.75 3/8 11:14 42.06 0.13%
Trade id #147568901
Max drawdown($16)
Time3/7/24 15:02
Quant open295
Worst price41.68
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 $111
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.70
3/7/24 10:37 FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL LONG 129 100.90 3/7 14:58 99.92 1.39%
Trade id #147565648
Max drawdown($180)
Time3/7/24 12:42
Quant open102
Worst price99.39
Drawdown as % of equity-1.39%
 ($130)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.58
3/6/24 12:42 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 290 10.80 3/6 13:51 10.99 0.09%
Trade id #147555671
Max drawdown($11)
Time3/6/24 13:25
Quant open290
Worst price10.76
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 $49
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.80
3/5/24 15:30 PFF ISHARES S&P U.S. PREFERRED STO LONG 640 31.90 3/6 9:58 32.01 n/a $65
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/5/24 13:53 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 129 58.65 3/5 14:03 58.55 0.18%
Trade id #147542760
Max drawdown($23)
Time3/5/24 14:00
Quant open129
Worst price58.47
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
 ($16)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.58
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    12/21/2023
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $35,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    133.2
  • Age
    133 days ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    81
  • # Profitable
    40
  • % Profitable
    49.40%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.1 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    26.05%
  • drawdown period
    April 04, 2024 - April 18, 2024
  • Cumul. Return
    41.3%
  • Avg win
    $303.80
  • Avg loss
    $175.29
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $14,979
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $14,979
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.69:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.94
  • Sortino Ratio
    3.17
  • Calmar Ratio
    8.548
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    35.62%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.17580
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    5.72%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    152.0%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    2.50%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.02%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.413%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    200.0%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    15.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    2.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    869
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    964
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    940
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    918
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $175
  • Avg Win
    $304
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $7,187.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    6
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $12,152.000
  • # Winners
    40
  • Num Months Winners
    5
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    10
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    14554
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    41
  • % Winners
    49.4%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    1523.65
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    25.39
  • Avg Trade Length
    1.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    2.21
  • Daily leverage (max)
    4.25
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.26
  • Beta
    0.69
  • Treynor Index
    0.41
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.77
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    3.134
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.319
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.292
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.319
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.99790
  • SD
    0.29940
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.33302
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.41178
  • df
    3.00000
  • t
    1.92432
  • p
    0.07500
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.05904
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    7.41816
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.49315
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.31671
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    38.60890
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    40.34100
  • Upside part of mean
    1.04267
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.04477
  • Upside SD
    0.38671
  • Downside SD
    0.02585
  • N nonnegative terms
    3.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    4.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.17635
  • Mean of criterion
    0.99790
  • SD of predictor
    0.10387
  • SD of criterion
    0.29940
  • Covariance
    0.01736
  • r
    0.55824
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.60902
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.71415
  • Mean Square Error
    0.09256
  • DF error
    2.00000
  • t(b)
    0.95154
  • p(b)
    0.22088
  • t(a)
    1.17949
  • p(a)
    0.17975
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -5.66660
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    8.88465
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.89098
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    3.31927
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.62019
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.71415
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.92798
  • SD
    0.27527
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.37114
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.43936
  • df
    3.00000
  • t
    1.94633
  • p
    0.07340
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.03840
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    7.47350
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.47652
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.35524
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    35.71890
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    37.45090
  • Upside part of mean
    0.97298
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.04500
  • Upside SD
    0.35766
  • Downside SD
    0.02598
  • N nonnegative terms
    3.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    4.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.17070
  • Mean of criterion
    0.92798
  • SD of predictor
    0.10317
  • SD of criterion
    0.27527
  • Covariance
    0.01660
  • r
    0.58456
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.55967
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.66175
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07482
  • DF error
    2.00000
  • t(b)
    1.01892
  • p(b)
    0.20772
  • t(a)
    1.22307
  • p(a)
    0.17293
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -5.02644
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    8.14577
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.66622
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.98972
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.59499
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.66175
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05198
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.08254
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00530
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01168
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98741
  • Quartile 1
    1.03814
  • Median
    1.08117
  • Quartile 3
    1.12851
  • Maximum
    1.19220
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98741
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.05505
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.10728
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.19220
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09037
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01259
  • Quartile 1
    0.01259
  • Median
    0.01259
  • Quartile 3
    0.01259
  • Maximum
    0.01259
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.12573
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.60098
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    127.12200
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    19.39550
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.17836
  • SD
    0.43420
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.71385
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.69167
  • df
    92.00000
  • t
    1.61688
  • p
    0.05466
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.60633
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.01957
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.62095
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.00428
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.53203
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.42370
  • Upside part of mean
    2.71022
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.53186
  • Upside SD
    0.35242
  • Downside SD
    0.26001
  • N nonnegative terms
    48.00000
  • N negative terms
    45.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    93.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13536
  • Mean of criterion
    1.17836
  • SD of predictor
    0.11421
  • SD of criterion
    0.43420
  • Covariance
    0.00959
  • r
    0.19344
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.73542
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    1.07900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.18347
  • DF error
    91.00000
  • t(b)
    1.88087
  • p(b)
    0.03159
  • t(a)
    1.49651
  • p(a)
    0.06899
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04125
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.51210
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.35314
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.51076
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.60229
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    1.07881
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.08299
  • SD
    0.43310
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.50056
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.48012
  • df
    92.00000
  • t
    1.48980
  • p
    0.06985
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.81551
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.80338
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.82904
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.78929
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.00060
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.79047
  • Upside part of mean
    2.65035
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.56736
  • Upside SD
    0.34169
  • Downside SD
    0.27071
  • N nonnegative terms
    48.00000
  • N negative terms
    45.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    93.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12887
  • Mean of criterion
    1.08299
  • SD of predictor
    0.11415
  • SD of criterion
    0.43310
  • Covariance
    0.00970
  • r
    0.19610
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.74403
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.98711
  • Mean Square Error
    0.18234
  • DF error
    91.00000
  • t(b)
    1.90775
  • p(b)
    0.02979
  • t(a)
    1.37387
  • p(a)
    0.08643
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.03067
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.51873
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.44008
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.41429
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.45557
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.98711
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03909
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04973
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01285
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02815
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    93.00000
  • Minimum
    0.88953
  • Quartile 1
    0.99386
  • Median
    1.00161
  • Quartile 3
    1.00999
  • Maximum
    1.10015
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97932
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99824
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00555
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03640
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01613
  • Number outliers low
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.05376
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.94122
  • Number of outliers high
    9.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.09677
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.06195
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.77948
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02277
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.10531
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.16678
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01711
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    12.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00012
  • Quartile 1
    0.00892
  • Median
    0.01939
  • Quartile 3
    0.02629
  • Maximum
    0.23831
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00198
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01408
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02305
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.11976
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01737
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.16667
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.16603
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -4.46206
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08372
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.08394
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.11946
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.23995
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.41278
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.36179
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    2.03708
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    8.54816
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    17.00910
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    40.96290
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03900
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -419040000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    14

Strategy Description

40 years trading experience
Will only trade Long or Inverse ETFS
Combines several Nouveau Strategies I myself designed
Position Sizing will adjust to my perception of market environment

Trade this strategy at Interactive Brokers

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2023-12-21
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 6.0%
Rank # 
#269
# Trades
81
# Profitable
40
% Profitable
49.4%
Net Dividends
$10
Correlation S&P500
0.176
Sharpe Ratio
1.94
Sortino Ratio
3.17
Beta
0.69
Alpha
0.26
Leverage
2.21 Average
4.25 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.